The Green Bay Packers host the Atlanta Falcons on “Monday Night Football” to wrap up Week 14 of the NFL season. The Packers opened as a 10.5-point favorite, and the line has since climbed to 13 points at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The moneyline has not seen as dramatic a change; the Packers opened at -624 and the Falcons were +501, and the largest swing has the Packers up to -670 and the Falcons at +540.
Green Bay is on a roll, having gone 7-2 against the spread in its last nine games, and covered in five straight home games. The Packers’ average margin of victory in those five home games is 26.4 points. The Packers are 28-2 straight up and 18-12 ATS in their last 30 games as a double-digit favorite according to the OddsShark NFL Database. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as such a favorite. This marks their biggest spread since they were 16.5-point home favorites in 2012 against Jacksonville.
Atlanta is 5-7 SU and ATS this season, and 2-8 ATS in its last ten road games. The Falcons did cover against the Packers last December, and are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a double-digit underdog.
The total is set at 55.5 points. The total has gone UNDER in six of Atlanta?s last eight games, and has gone OVER in seven of Green Bay?s last nine games. It has also gone OVER in five of Green Bay?s last six home games. Last year?s Lambeau matchup between these two went UNDER. The OddsShark Computer predicts an Atlanta cover and the OVER in a 38-26 Green Bay victory.
The Falcons are expecting to have wide receiver Roddy White for the game. He is listed as questionable with an ankle injury, but he has insisted he will play. He was inactive in Week 13. Cornerback Robert Alford remains out with a broken wrist.
Packers cornerback Sam Shields is listed as questionable with a concussion. He suffered the concussion in the team?s Week 13 win over the New England Patriots, and has since missed all three practice sessions this week. The team?s medical staff has said he has a chance to play against Atlanta. However, his absence from all three practices likely means he has not progressed far enough through the concussion protocol to play.
Photo via Jeff Hanisch/USA TODAY Sports Images
