Tom Brady, Patriots Are Huge Favorites Over Rex Ryan, Jets On The Road

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Dec 19, 2014

The New England Patriots will play their final road game of the regular season when they face the New York Jets in Week 16.

The Patriots are around 11-point favorites at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The moneyline opened with New England at -470, but it is now at -550. New York opened at +400 and is now between +415 and +430. The total is set at 47.5 points.

The Patriots are 1-4 against the spread in their last five divisional road games. This also marks the 12th time since 1986 the team has been a double-digit road favorite. It won once in each of the last two years but failed to cover in both games. The OddsShark Computer predicts a 41-13 New England blowout. That would provide for a New England cover, and the OVER.

Green Bay is the only other double-digit favorite, and it also is on the road, facing Tampa Bay. The Packers are favored by as much as 12.5 points on the Week 16 NFL betting lines. This is the first time the Packers have been double-digit road favorites since 2011. They are 7-2 straight-up in their nine such games but just 3-6 ATS. The computer predicts a 37-19 Packers cover.

The closest lines remain three games at a field goal — Dallas over Indianapolis, Pittsburgh over Kansas City, and Carolina over Cleveland. The Colts are 5-1 SU in their last six, while the Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their last five. The computer predicts a 32-28 Colts upset. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last five against Pittsburgh and is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 road games. The computer predicts a 28-27 Steelers win but Chiefs cover. Carolina is struggling, having gone 2-4 ATS in its last six, and 2-6-1 SU in its last nine, and the computer has the Panthers’ struggles continuing in a 19-16 Browns win.

The biggest change in spread belongs to the Detroit-Chicago matchup. The Lions opened as 4.5-point road favorites, but the Bears’ decision to bench quarterback Jay Cutler for Jimmy Clausen has moved the line to as high as 9.5 points. The computer predicts a 24-12 Lions win.

Sunday wraps up with the Seattle Seahawks as big road favorites against the Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks are 6-3 SU and ATS in their last nine against the Cardinals. Quarterback Drew Stanton got in limited work for Arizona this week, but Ryan Lindley is expected to start. The computer predicts a 26-23 Seahawks win.

Thumbnail photo via Winslow Townson/USA TODAY Sports Images

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