Tom Brady Vs. Aaron Rodgers Matchup Primed For Near-Record Point Total

by abournenesn

Nov 28, 2014

Tom Brady, Timothy WrightThe New England Patriots are on the road for Week 13 of the NFL season, facing the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay opened as a four-point favorite, and then settled in as a field goal favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The point total is 58, which is just shy of the record-setting 61.5-point total for a 2000 Rams-49ers game.

The OddsShark Computer predicts a 41-40 Patriots win on Sunday, which would result in a Patriots cover and easily blow past the OVER for totals bettors. The Patriots have covered five of their last six games, and gone OVER in seven of their last eight. They have struggled on the road, to the tune of 5-10-1 against the spread in their last 16. The Packers have covered six of eight, and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games.

The biggest spread on the day belongs to the Indianapolis-Washington matchup. The Colts are a ten-point favorite, rising from eight points, at the sportsbooks. The Colts are 5-5 ATS and 8-2 straight up in their last ten games as double-digit favorites according to the OddsShark NFL Database, and the computer predicts the Colts winning 33-21.

The next two biggest spreads for Sunday are Houston over Tennessee and St. Louis over Oakland, both by a touchdown. The Texans are only 2-4 ATS in their last six games, but the computer predicts a cover with a 23-11 win in that contest. The Rams are 4-2 ATS in their last six games, while the Raiders have covered four of their last five on the road. The computer predicts the Raiders cover with a 17-12 Rams win.

The closest line of the day on the Week 13 NFL betting odds belongs to the AFC West showdown for first place involving Denver and Kansas City. The Broncos opened as 1.5-point favorites at the sportsbooks; some sites have the line up to two points, but some also have it as even. The Broncos have won five straight games against the Chiefs, and covered six of nine. The computer predicts a 32-30 win for the Chiefs.

Photo via Steven Senne/Associated Press Photo

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