The New England Patriots host the Denver Broncos in a huge Week 9 AFC matchup Sunday and likely will head into the game as a field-goal underdog, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
This is the second time this season the Patriots have been a home dog, having been a 2.5-point underdog to Cincinnati. They were a home dog against Denver in 2013, and prior to that, they had not been a home underdog since 2005.
The total is set between 54 and 55 points, and the OVER looks like a good bet. These two teams have gone OVER in four of their last five games against each other. Additionally, the total has gone OVER in New England’s last five games, and in four of Denver’s last five games. The OddsShark Computer is predicting a 33-32 Patriots victory, which would go OVER and provide a New England cover.
Cincinnati and Seattle hold the biggest spreads for Sunday. Cincinnati opened as a 13.5-point favorite against Jacksonville, but the line has come down to between 11 points and 11.5 points, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last six games in Cincinnati, but the computer predicts a 25-10 Bengals victory.
Seattle is a 15-point favorite against Oakland. Seattle is 19-2 SU in its last 21 home games and 18-6 ATS in its last 24 home games. The computer predicts Seattle rolls with a 30-9 victory.
Four games have a spread at or below two points. Washington opened as a one-point favorite against Minnesota, but that line has come down to even. Robert Griffin III is a game-time decision, but most analysts expect him to play. The computer projects a 17-15 Washington win.
Miami is a one-point home favorite against San Diego. The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Chargers. San Diego opened the season 5-0 ATS but has dropped three in a row since. The computer predicts a 28-21 Chargers win to snap that skid.
Philadelphia opened as a 2.5-point favorite on the road against Houston, but the line has come down to one to two points at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The computer predicts a relatively easy 33-23 Eagles win, building on Philadelphia’s 5-2 record ATS to start the season.
Sunday wraps up with the Pittsburgh Steelers hosting the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens opened as 1.5-point favorites, and the line is ranging between one and two points. The last 20 games between these teams have split down the middle at 9-9-2 ATS, while Baltimore is 11-9 SU. The computer predicts a slim Baltimore win 27.1-26.5.
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