Few people, if anyone, expect Tom Brady to rack up more passing yards than his peers.

FanDuel’s Sportsbook set the New England Patriots quarterback’s over/under for passing yards for the 2019 regular season at 4,170.5 on Friday. That number is the 11th-highest among starting quarterbacks coming into the season, perhaps reflecting widely held beliefs that Brady is declining or he lacks the weapons required to set the pace in the passing yards.

The last time Brady failed to pass for at least 4,171 yards in a season in which he started 16 games was 2014. He also missed that mark between 2002 and 2004 and in the 2006 and 2010 seasons, all of which now seem like ancient history.

He led the NFL with 4,577 passing yards in 2017 and followed with 4,355 yards last season. The oddsmakers’ predicted drop to 4,070.5 seems steep, given the fact Brady is coming off a Super Bowl-winning season, but the over/under they’ve set is just another slight the 42-year-old can use as motivation to continue succeeding.