The Miami Dolphins host the Buffalo Bills on “Thursday Night Football,” looking to break a 5-4 logjam behind the New England Patriots in the AFC East standings. The Dolphins opened as four-point favorites, but the line has climbed as high as six points at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The total is set at 42 points.
The Bills claimed the first game this season between these teams, winning 29-10 as 1.5-point favorites. The Bills are 4-1 straight up and against the spread in the last five games between these two teams, but 2-4 SU and ATS in the last six games in Miami.
The total went UNDER in that game, and that marked the seventh time in the last nine meetings in which they have gone UNDER. The OddsShark Computer predicts a 26-21 Miami win. That would hit the OVER but would not cover the spread for anybody who got in late on the game.
The Bills’ injury report includes running back Fred Jackson listed as questionable with a groin injury and wide receiver Sammy Watkins listed as probable with a groin injury. Both played in Week 10 and are expected back on the field in the short week. Jackson got a limited workload in his Week 10 return from a groin injury. His workload is expected to increase Thursday.
The Dolphins listed quarterback Ryan Tannehill and running back Lamar Miller as probable, and both are expected to play. Tight end Charles Clay is listed as questionable, but he too should play.
New England remains an underdog of at or near a field goal for this weekend, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Patriots are 4-2 ATS in their last six games against the Colts and 16-2-1 ATS in their last 19 games at Indianapolis. The total is currently at 57.5 points and has gone OVER five of the last seven games between these teams in Indianapolis.
Chandler Jones remains the most notable name on the Patriots injury report; the defensive end is still sitting out of practice with a hip injury and is likely to miss a couple more games. Quarterback Tom Brady was listed as a full participant in practice Wednesday, and guard Ryan Wendell was listed as limited.
Photo via Kevin Hoffman/USA TODAY Sports Images