AFC Championship: Bengals Matchups and Trends

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January 25

Fresh off a dominating 27-10 Divisional Round victory against the Buffalo Bills, the Cincinnati Bengals get set to battle the Kansas City Chiefs in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game, with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. This will be a rematch of last year’s conference title in which Joe Burrow and company upset the Chiefs 27-24 on a game-winning field goal in overtime by kicker Evan McPherson.

Winners of the past three meetings, let’s highlight a few key matchups and ATS trends for Cincy as it looks to secure a second straight Super Bowl appearance.

AFC Championship Matchups

Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) has 87 receptions in 13 games (6.7 per game) this season – the sixth-best of Qualified Wide Receivers.

The Chiefs have allowed 24.0 receptions per game this season – tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Joe Burrow (CIN) has averaged 21.1 fantasy points per game this season – the fourth-best of Qualified Quarterbacks.

The Chiefs have allowed an average of 19.7 fantasy points per game to opposing QBs this season – the third-worst in NFL.

Isiah Pacheco (KC) has averaged 48.8 rushing yards per game this season – the fifth-worst of Qualified Running Backs.

The Bengals have allowed an average of just 102.6 rushing yards per game this season – the fifth-best in NFL.

AFC Championship ATS Trends

  • The Bengals are 7-2 (.778) against the spread on the road this seasontied for second-best in NFL, League Avg: .496.
  • The Bengals are 13-4 (.765) against the spread on the road since the 2021 seasonbest in NFL, League Avg: .508.
  • The Bengals are 3-1 (.600) against the spread vs. top ten pass defenses this seasontied for tenth-best in NFL, League Avg: .529.
  • The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) against the spread when underdogs this seasonbest in NFL, League Avg: .546.
  • The Bengals were 3-1 (.750) against the spread vs. top ten run defenses last seasontied for fourth-best in NFL, League Avg: .488.
Thumbnail photo via Kareem Elgazzar-USA TODAY Sports

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