Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Preview: AFC East on the Line


Jan 2, 2024

The NFL regular season climaxes with a thrilling Sunday night fixture featuring the Buffalo Bills taking on the Miami Dolphins in South Florida. The anticipation is high for this crucial matchup, with significant playoff implications hanging in the balance.

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Bills vs. Dolphins Odds at FanDuel 

  • Spread: Bills -3 (-108) | Dolphins +3 (-112)
  • Moneyline: Bills (-164) | Dolphins (+138)
  • Total: OVER 49.5 (-110) | UNDER 49.5 (-110)

The opening line sees the Buffalo Bills as -3 favorites on the road. A testament to their strong season performance, the Bills are positioned to clinch the division with a victory. Conversely, a win for the Dolphins turns the tables, allowing them to host a playoff game against one of the AFC’s lower-seeded teams. The total for the game is set at 49.5, indicating expectations of a high-scoring affair.

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Team Dynamics:

  • Buffalo Bills: A win is crucial for the Bills. Not only would it secure the division title, but depending on other game outcomes, a loss could potentially jeopardize a playoff berth. Their motivation is sky-high, underlined by their favored status despite playing away. The Bills’ defense has been a cornerstone of their success, posing a serious challenge for any offense.
  • Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins are driven to overturn their earlier 28-point loss to the Bills this season. Their heavy 56-19 defeat to the Baltimore Ravens last week only adds to their determination. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has historically found it challenging against the Bills, and this game presents an opportunity for him to overcome past struggles and lead his team to a significant victory.

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Key Players and Stats:

  • Buffalo Bills: The defensive prowess of the Bills will be crucial. Their ability to limit top-tier players like Tyreek Hill could be the game-changer.
  • Miami Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa, despite facing challenges against strong defenses, remains a formidable quarterback. His performance, particularly under pressure, will be pivotal in the Dolphins’ quest for victory.


The game promises to be fiercely competitive, with both teams having solid motivations. With their robust defense, the Bills have a slight edge, especially if they manage to contain the Dolphins’ key offensive weapons. However, with a point to prove and home-field advantage, the Dolphins cannot be underestimated. The lean is toward Buffalo.

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Thumbnail photo via Jamie Germano/Rochester Democrat and Chronicle / USA TODAY NETWORK

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