Remember the popular post-free agency narrative that power in the AFC East might shift? Yeah, forget about that.
The New England Patriots still reign supreme over the rest of their divisional counterparts, and it’s not particularly close. The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills could have come close to unseating the Patriots had Jimmy Garoppolo started the first four games of the 2015 NFL season at quarterback. Now that Tom Brady’s suspension has been vacated, however? Forget about it.
Here’s how the AFC East should shake out this season, in predicted order of finish.
1. New England Patriots
The Patriots experienced some roster changeover after their Super Bowl XLIX win, losing Darrelle Revis, Vince Wilfork and other starters, but it’s not enough for them to lose their grip on the division. Brady will be more motivated than ever, tight end Rob Gronkowski is fully healthy, and the Patriots have a recharged pass rush, which should make up for their patchwork cornerback corps.
It’s the Patriots’ division to lose, and it would take a disaster for that to happen.
2. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins made a huge splash in free agency when they signed defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh, making their already dangerous pass rush even scarier. However, the Dolphins’ success this season largely will depend on quarterback Ryan Tannehill and head coach Joe Philbin.
If Tannehill finally can take the jump into semi-“elite” status, the Dolphins will have a shot at a wild-card berth. Their secondary, linebackers and offensive playmakers still could use some work, though.
3. Buffalo Bills
The Bills should be competitive for the No. 2 spot in the division. They have a better defense than the Dolphins, and their offensive playmakers are similar, but quarterback Tyrod Taylor is almost a complete unknown, which leaves them third. Taylor was the best option to start at quarterback out of the Bills’ options, however.
If Taylor can’t carry the Bills, they will have to rely on E.J. Manuel. Still, this could be the best team Rex Ryan has coached since the 2010 New York Jets, who went 11-5 and won a wild card spot.
4. New York Jets
Ryan is gone and Todd Bowles took over as head coach, but the Jets still are a mess. They likely will have one of the best defenses in the NFL after welcoming Revis back, but they’re at a severe disadvantage offensively, despite the upgrade they made at wide receiver by adding Brandon Marshall.
The Jets won’t be competitive until they have someone serviceable at quarterback. Starter Geno Smith remains out after he had his jaw broken by former teammate IK Enemkpali, leaving well-traveled veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick under center.
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