Recent Super Bowl Betting Trends Surprisingly Favor Underdog Patriots
Bet against New England at your own risk
The New England Patriots are significant underdogs against the Seattle Seahawks this weekend, with the Seahawks listed as 4.5-point favorites to win Super Bowl LX.
While that might seem like bad news for the Patriots, it may actually be a good sign for them based on recent Super Bowl betting trends.
For starters, underdogs have won four of the last five Super Bowls and covered in all five of them, proving that Super Bowls have been unpredictable lately.
And that’s not just a recent trend, either. According to Action Network, Super Bowl underdogs are 11-7 straight up in the last 18 Super Bowls, including 13-5 against the spread.
After winning 16 of its last 17 games, New England is certainly capable of joining that trend. The Patriots have great leadership starting with two-time NFL Coach of the Year Mike Vrabel, who won three Super Bowls as a player and knows how to prepare his team for Super Bowl Sunday.
Vrabel has a great coaching staff around him, too, including an elite offensive coordinator in Josh McDaniels, who just won NFL Assistant Coach of the Year. This is his sixth Super Bowl appearance, so he has plenty of big-game experience to tap into against Seattle’s elite defense.
New England also boasts a stellar defense that could spell trouble for Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold, who’s struggled mightily against the Patriots and never beaten them in his NFL career. That unit should help take some of the pressure off Drake Maye, who’s coming off an MVP-caliber season.
Accordingly, it’s not hard to envision a scenario where Darnold struggles against New England’s defense, Maye leads a few scoring drives and the Patriots prevail.
The public is backing Seattle, but if recent history is any indication, that might not be a good idea.
