Get this: What LeBron James does has a huge impact on NBA betting odds. Whodda thunk it?
The superstar’s agency quietly announced the biggest basketball story of the summer Sunday night when it revealed James had signed a four-year contract with the Los Angeles Lakers.
And in that instant, James made the Lakers — who finished 35-47 last season — an NBA title contender. In fact, only the Golden State Warriors have better odds at winning the 2018-19 championship, according to BetOnline.ag.
The Lakers, as of Monday morning, are just +400 to win the title next season. That seems a little high, right? As it currently stands, there’s little to no chance a team of LeBron and a bunch of good — maybe not great — young talent and veterans is able to topple the Warriors or even the Houston Rockets in the West.
However, it’s likely sportsbooks are factoring in a little Kawhi Leonard insurance with that number. That 4-to-1 number probably is assuming the Lakers are able to add Leonard and/or DeMarcus Cousins before the season begins. So the books are more likely to give L.A. more credit than it deserves than less in order to cover themselves. If you think the Lakers are likely to acquire another star or two and they were listed at 10- or 12-to-1, that’s a lot more value. So the books are probably protecting against that.
Regardless, that didn’t stop bettors from hammering the Lakers after the news broke.
Most bets to win 2019 NBA title @LVSuperBook:
1. Lakers
2. Celtics
3. Cavs
4. Spurs
5. ClippersWhat do you think? Leave a comment.— David Payne Purdum (@DavidPurdum) July 2, 2018
Here’s how the list of top contenders currently stands.
Golden State Warriors +150
Los Angeles Lakers +400
Boston Celtics +450
Houston Rockets +700
Philadelphia 76ers +1000
Oklahoma City Thunder +2500
San Antonio Spurs +2500
Toronto Raptors +4000
James’ impact stands out more when you look at how his decision affected the futures odds.
Notable shifts in 2018-19 NBA Championship futures since opening (Bovada):
Cavaliers +2500 to +40000
Lakers +1600 to +400
76ers +450 to +1000
Rockets +400 to +700
Spurs +2500 to +5000
Pistons +50000 to +15000
Knicks +15000 to +5000
Raptors +6000 to +4000
Heat +4000 to +6600— Odds Shark (@OddsShark) July 2, 2018