The Minnesota Timberwolves carry the momentum of three straight victories into tonight’s contest against the Dallas Mavericks, who have lost five of their past eight. However, based on our projections, there is a substantive advantage in taking the visitors in tonight’s Western Conference showdown.
The Mavs have been without Luka Doncic since December 10, but they are finding ways to win without him. Dallas has turned up the pressure defensively, limiting two of their past three opponents to 96 points or fewer on 34.4% shooting. Although they soaked a tough 107-104 overtime loss to the Lakers last time out, they maintained their strong defensive presence, limiting LA to 93 points in regulation. They will have to lean into that defensive against a T-Wolves team averaging 116.7 points over their three-game winning streak.