The Patriots are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 home games, but they have scuffled at home against the Jets; the Pats are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games against the Jets.
The Patriots are going to be shorthanded at a couple key positions due to Week 6 injuries. Stevan Ridley tore his ACL and MCL and is likely out for the season. Middle linebacker Jerod Mayo also suffered a knee injury and has already been ruled out for Thursday.
The Week 7 schedule doesn’t feature any other double-digit spreads at this point. Green Bay is a 6.5-point favorite at home against Carolina, while Seattle is a 6.5-point favorite on the road against St. Louis. Over the last two seasons Seattle is 7-6 as a road favorite, and the Seahawks are 1-1 in such situations this year, having won at Washington and lost at San Diego.
The Cleveland Browns are a 5-point road favorite against the Jacksonville Jaguars. This is the second time Cleveland has been a road favorite this season, and the second biggest road spread of the day. The Browns haven’t been a road favorite since December 2012, and this game marks only the tenth time they have been a road favorite since 2002. According to the OddsShark NFL Database, Cleveland is 7-1-1 in its nine games as road favorites in that span.
The final road favorite is Arizona heading into Oakland. That line is moving a little bit, but it’s between Arizona -3 and -4 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
San Francisco and Denver close out the Sunday slate with the Broncos as an early 6-point favorite. The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games, while the 49ers are 9-2-2 in their last 13 road games.
Houston and Pittsburgh wrap up week on “Monday Night Football.” The Steelers are a 4-point favorite but are scuffling along at 2-4 ATS. The Texans are 4-2 ATS.
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