Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

by

Aug 21, 2023

As the National League wild-card race intensifies, the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Francisco Giants are set to lock horns in one of the most highly-anticipated matchups of the week ahead.

Aaron Nola takes the mound for the Phillies against the Giants. Despite an inconsistent season, Nola has posted strong numbers against right-handed hitters, making him the favorite in this matchup. The FanDuel Sportsbook has the Phillies as a -160 favorite, indicating that the oddsmakers are giving the home team a decent advantage.

However, there are some concerns with Nola’s performance against left-handed hitters. Over the past 30 days, he’s faced 59 left-handed batters and has allowed a .309 ISO and a .417 weighted on-base percentage. This could be problematic against the Giants’ lineup, which is expected to feature six left-handed hitters out of nine. 

The Giants will counter with Scott Alexander, a left-handed pitcher who hasn’t performed well at striking out batters. Against the last 48 batters he’s faced, Alexander has posted a .065 ISO and a .331 weighted on-base percentage.

Weather conditions in Philadelphia could also play a role in this game. With a warm and muggy night forecasted, the ball might carry further than usual, making it an ideal setting for hitters. In addition, a light wind is expected to blow in from left field. However, the massive scoreboard at Citizens Bank Park usually blocks out a lot of wind, which could create a pinball-like atmosphere.

The Phillies’ offense showed some spark in the ninth inning of the Little League Classic last night. Considering the muggy conditions and smaller ballpark, it could be a good opportunity for the batters to capitalize on this matchup. Although it’s a playoff-type atmosphere, the hitters might have the advantage in these conditions.

As the wild-card race heats up, this game promises to be an intriguing matchup between two teams fighting for a playoff spot. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and it will be interesting to see how they exploit them to secure a much-needed victory. Betting odds favor the Phillies, but as we’ve seen before, anything can happen in these big games. 

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Thumbnail photo via Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

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