Miami Dolphins Futures: Super Bowl, AFC, Division Odds and Analysis

by

Jul 21, 2023

Miami Dolphins – a team with the second-best odds to win the AFC East and not far behind the Buffalo Bills. Currently, they sit at +290 to win the East, have 12 to 1 odds for the AFC Championship, and 25 to 1 odds for the Super Bowl. The Dolphins also have a projected win total of 9.5 for the upcoming NFL season.

As we look toward the new season, their quarterback’s health will undoubtedly be a crucial determining factor. A healthy Dolphins’ signal-caller could quickly push this team towards an ‘over’ on their win total, while an injury-prone Tua Tagovailoa season could just as quickly send them spiraling toward an ‘under.’ The challenge here is quantifying the QB’s health risk before the season begins.

The Miami Dolphins made some savvy moves to strengthen their defense in the offseason, which should pay dividends in the coming months. The team also boasts a formidable set of wide receivers and a group of decent running backs. While the Dolphins might lack a big-name star in their backfield, they have several players who can shoulder the burden in any given game.

However, the team’s fate rests largely on their QB. Can he stay healthy for an entire season? If we look back at the previous year, he missed three to four games – will the coming season witness a repeat, or could the injury tally rise? This uncertainty is a factor that could potentially push the team toward the ‘under.’

When analyzing the Dolphins’ chances, we must also consider the strength of their non-divisional opponents, which seems to be slightly stronger in this case. This could mean the Dolphins falling short of their projected win total and not entirely living up to the odds to win the division, AFC, or the Super Bowl.

Another element that could impact the Dolphins’ season is their coaching situation. Often, a new coach can take the league by storm in his first year, only to see his team slow down as opponents begin to figure out their strategies. Given the Dolphins’ offensive weapons and speed at wide receiver, it’s unlikely their offense will come to a standstill. However, a coaching adjustment period could create a slight drag on their performance.

To sum up, while the Miami Dolphins are a talented team with the potential to make some serious noise in the league, too many variables make it difficult to get overly excited. Given these considerations, the prediction leans towards the ‘under’ on their projected win total. But remember, this team has the talent, and if they can stay healthy, they could undoubtedly outperform these projections.

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Thumbnail photo via Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports