NFL MVP Update After Week 12: Jalen Hurts Leads Way

by

Nov 28, 2023

As the NFL regular season progresses, the MVP race intensifies, with a dramatic shift in the betting odds. After an outstanding performance featuring a game-winning 12-yard rushing score for Philadelphia on Sunday, Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts is now leading the MVP race with odds of +150. This remarkable shift sees Hurts leapfrog from his pre-season odds of +1200 to become the new favorite, surpassing the reigning NFL MVP, Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs, who is now listed at +350.

Hurts as the Rightful Favorite

Analyzing the current standings, we strongly believes that Jalen Hurts is the rightful NFL MVP favorite. Despite the volatile nature of the market and initial skepticism surrounding Hurtz and the Eagles – notably during the first half against the Buffalo Bills – his turnaround performance has been nothing short of spectacular. His contribution of five total touchdowns has solidified the Eagles’ position as the team with the best record in the NFL.

The Impact of Team Performance

In the ever-changing landscape of NFL betting, team performance plays a crucial role. For instance, if Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers manages an exceptional game against Philadelphia while Hurts underperforms, the market could see a significant shift. Similarly, in college football, a player like Jayden Daniels might be exceptional, but the importance of winning big games cannot be overstated, as it significantly impacts Heisman Trophy odds.

Looking Ahead: The Eagles’ Gauntlet

The Philadelphia Eagles are poised to face a challenging stretch, including games against the 49ers and the Dallas Cowboys. If they navigate this successfully, Hurts’s odds could shorten dramatically, potentially to as low as -400. However, the MVP race remains open, with Patrick Mahomes still in contention. Despite not being on a record-breaking pace, Mahomes’ consistent performance and the Chiefs’ potential to secure the top seed in the AFC make him a formidable contender.

Mahomes: A Strong Challenger

Mahomes’ aerial statistics may end up surpassing those of Hurts, which could tilt the scales in his favor. If the Chiefs finish with the best overall record in the NFL, Mahomes, despite being a familiar face in the MVP discussion, could very well clinch the title. His performance, particularly with less-heralded wide receivers, makes his case for MVP even stronger.

As the NFL season heads towards its climax, the MVP race is shaping up to be a thrilling contest between Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes, with each game potentially pivotal in deciding who will emerge as the most valuable player of the season.

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Thumbnail photo via Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

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