The Ultimate +850 Black Friday SGP for Dolphins at Jets

by

Nov 24, 2023

The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets meet for the first Black Friday game ever, and like always, we have you with the ultimate same-game parlay we don’t imagine losing. 

Valued at +850, let’s ride.

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Leg 1: Dolphins -6.5

We know exactly who the Dolphins are at this point in the season. They blow the doors off bad teams and fall short against good ones. It’s been the same thing all season, and the Jets have been one of the worst teams in football these past few weeks. Many are happy that they no longer have to watch Zach Wilson, but come on now, Tim Boyle was his backup for a reason. Boyle likely won’t be much better. Tua Tagovailoa and Co. have too much firepower, and I can’t imagine Tim Boyle keeping pace. Miami’s last six wins came by at least 6.5 points, so I expect more of the same today.

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Legs 2 & 3: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD & 6+ Receptions

Tyreek Hill has found the endzone in eight of ten games this season and in every game where the Dolphins won. The Jets’ secondary has become a bit overrated in my eyes. We just saw Josh Allen throw three touchdowns on this defense last week, so if you’re telling me Tua throws three touchdowns today, there isn’t any way that at least one of those isn’t to Tyreek Hill. Looking at his receptions, he’s had at least six catches in six straight games, so we’re confident in touting both Hill to find the endzone with six receptions under his belt.

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Leg 4: Jaylen Waddle 4+ Receptions

Jaylen Waddle has had at least four receptions in eight of nine games this season, with the lone miss being a three-catch game in Germany, where he missed time due to being injured. With extra focus on Hill today, I have no reason to expect a dud outing from Waddle, knowing he’s had four receptions in 89% of games this season.

Leg 5: Raheem Mostert 40+ Rushing Yards

Raheem Mostert has had 40 rushing yards in eight of ten games this season, with those two misses being a 37-yard outing and the other when the Bills obliterated the Dolphins back in Week 4. As we expect the Dolphins to win by at least a touchdown, there should be plenty of time for Mostert to be fed garbage time carries to get us to our yardage threshold.

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Leg 6: Breece Hall 3+ Receptions

We can’t do all Dolphins for our parlay, right? Well, I have no idea what to expect from Tim Boyle throwing the ball, so by no means do I want to target one of his wide receivers. Plus, I think they’ll be losing so badly that running the ball with Breece Hall will make no logical sense enough to get us the needed yardage. Therefore, we’ll look to Hall’s reception mark as I can already envision Boyle being flustered in the pocket and just finding Hall to dump it off on several occasions. For good measure, Hall has had at least three receptions in seven straight games.

All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

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Thumbnail photo via Jim Rassol / USA TODAY NETWORK

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