Can Alabama’s Big Play Ability Shake Michigan’s Defense?

by

Dec 27, 2023

The clash between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Michigan Wolverines is poised to be a classic college football bout, with the betting lines suggesting a close encounter.

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Alabama vs. Michigan Odds at FanDuel 

  • Spread: Alabama +1.5 (-105) | Michigan -1.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Alabama (+106) | Michigan (-128)
  • Total: OVER 44.5 (-112) | UNDER 44.5 (-108)

The Wolverines are holding as a 1.5-point favorite, a testament to their season’s performance. The total has seen a slight shift, ticking down from 46.5 to 45.5 at the FanDuel Sportsbook, hinting at expectations of a defensive struggle.

The narratives swirling around this game are plentiful – the prowess of Nick Saban, the SEC’s strength, the playoff committee’s alleged preference for the conference, and Jim Harbaugh‘s quest to win a significant bowl game. However, the adage in betting remains: narratives don’t dictate the outcomes.

When breaking down the teams, Michigan appears to be the superior squad this season, contrary to the common storyline. While critics might point to a less challenging schedule than Alabama’s, the Crimson Tide has shown vulnerability in games against teams like Auburn and South Florida. Credit is due for overcoming these challenges, but the Wolverines have been consistently impressive.

Check out SportsGrid’s CFB Game Picks and CFB Props Picks all Season Long.

The deciding factor may well be the passing game. Jalen Milroe and the Crimson Tide are known for their deep shots downfield – a strategy that could yield big plays or draw critical penalties. However, Michigan’s pass defense is touted as one of the nation’s best, potentially neutralizing Alabama’s best offensive weapon.

With the running game expected to be stifled on both sides, quarterbacks JJ McCarthy of Michigan and Milroe of Alabama will be under the microscope. Trust in their arm may be the linchpin of victory or defeat. McCarthy’s ability to manage the game and Milroe’s knack for explosive plays will be the storyline to watch.

This game is shaping up to be a battle of the air. The defenses are expected to be stringent, and with the spread at a mere 1.5 points, the outcome is anything but certain. Bettors will be weighing Michigan’s defensive might against Alabama’s big-play potential, making for a compelling and closely contested affair.

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Thumbnail photo via John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

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