George Kittle Unleashed: Capitalizing on Lions’ Weak Defense

by

Jan 26, 2024

George Kittle is poised for a standout performance in the upcoming NFC Championship game, making him a prime focus for bettors. The dynamics within the San Francisco 49ers are currently tilting in Kittle’s favor, mainly due to the uncertain situation surrounding Deebo Samuel.

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Samuel’s potential absence or limited presence on the field significantly boosts Kittle’s prospects. Historically, when Samuel is not actively playing, Kittle’s target share on run routes jumps an impressive 23%. This rate surpasses Brandon Aiyuk‘s, positioning Kittle as a more central figure in the 49ers’ offensive strategy.

Despite Aiyuk likely being the primary target as a No. 1 wide receiver, Kittle’s lower receiving prop becomes particularly enticing. His role is expected to expand due to Samuel’s potential gap, directing more workload towards him. This situation makes some of the overs on Kittle’s props a wise bet.

Furthermore, the matchup against the Detroit Lions adds another opportunity for Kittle. The Lions’ defense has shown particular vulnerability against tight ends, ranking as one of the ten worst teams in yards per attempt allowed to tight end targets. Their struggle in this area is notable, especially considering they haven’t yet faced many top-tier tight ends. Kittle’s expertise and skill set will likely exploit these defensive weaknesses substantially.

Whether due to Samuel’s absence or the Lions’ defensive frailties, Kittle stands out as a valuable player in this matchup. Bettors should consider leaning into the overs on Kittle’s props, as the conditions seem highly favorable for an impactful performance from the tight-end star.

George Kittle Props:

61.5 Receiving Yards (Over -110/Under -110)

4.5 Total Receptions (Over -105/Under -115)

23.5 Yards Longest Reception (Over -115/Under -105)

Anytime Touchdown (+105)

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Thumbnail photo via Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

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