The Pittsburgh Steelers and Buffalo Bills are set to collide on Sunday in Super Wild Card Weekend. SportsGrid gives you a multi-leg parlay to consider.
If you’re looking for a significant number to get behind, this parlay has the makings of one to tail, with odds at a whopping +836.
The Bills are listed as a near double-digit point home favorite on Sunday, but with the weather forecast highlighting big winds and at least a foot of snow, we’re backing the underdog to keep it close.
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NFL SGP Leg 1: Pittsburgh Steelers +9.5 (-105)
- This number looks a lot better at +10, but we still view this as a one-touchdown game
- With the ferocious weather expected in Buffalo, it’s going to be a clock-draining type matchup, and Pittsburgh can matchup with Buffalo at the line of scrimmage
- Buffalo has struggled to cover as a heavy favorite this season
NFL SGP Leg 2: Pittsburgh Steelers Team Total Over 12.5 (-110)
- The Steelers have done an excellent job of controlling the clock over their last three games and are bringing in a confident offensive line. With the injuries Buffalo has on defense, we like for the Steelers to, at a minimum, find the endzone once and add a pair of field goals
- Although the under is tempting, this type of weather plays into exactly how the Steelers’ offense wants to operate
NFL SGP Leg 3: Buffalo Bills Team Total Under 22.5 (-112)
- With wind expected to reach 65 mph on Sunday around kick-off, it will be difficult to throw the ball. Expect both teams to have a heavy stack-the-box approach
- Even without T.J. Watt, the Steelers have been better at stopping the run over the last month. Buffalo will need a creative approach on offense, but we envision multiple drives stalling in this weather, leading to Buffalo staying under their team total of 22.5
NFL SGP Leg 4: Jaylen Warren Over 3+ Receptions (-166)
- The Steelers are expected to be trailing in this matchup, and Jaylen Warren has had a continuous role in the passing game no matter the game script
- Over Warren’s last five games, he’s had four or more receptions in each. You can play 4+ receptions at +138, but we’re looking for a little more of a safe approach to close out the parlay
NFL SGP Total Value = +836
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