The Spread Sharp Report: How Public Is Betting Patriots-Lions Clash

New England is a 3.5-point home favorite

by

Oct 9, 2022

The Patriots enter Sunday's game against the Detroit Lions as a home favorite, but the fact New England third-string quarterback Bailey Zappe is set to make his first career start seemingly has caused bettors to lack confidence in Bill Belichick's team.

Patriots starting quarterback Mac Jones will miss Sunday's game, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Brian Hoyer was placed on injured reserve with a concussion this week, opening the door for the rookie Zappe to start.

The Lions are responsible for 82% of the moneyline bets on BetMGM Sportsbook, which marks the second-highest clip behind only the Dallas Cowboys to beat the Los Angeles Rams. It represents a less noteworthy 42% of the moneyline handle, indicating there are some larger wagers on the Lions to win straight up.

DraftKings Sportsbook also has taken more moneyline bets on the Lions with 67% of the bets accounting for 62% of the money wagered on the moneyline.

The Lions, who statistically own the league's best offense in points and yards per game, also own the majority of spread bets (65%) and spread handle (61%) at BetMGM. DraftKings has taken 71% of spread bets on Detroit, as well.

However, it seems there are some large bets on the Patriots to cover the spread at DraftKings. Sixty-one percent of the spread handle is on the Patriots to cover the three points, though it represents just 39% of the spread tickets.

In regards to the total, 68% of bets and 62% of the handle are on the Over 45.5 at BetMGM. DraftKings, similarly, has received a majority of bets and handle on the Over 45.5 with 62% and 60%, respectively. It's worth noting the total has gone over in the Lions' last five games, and Detroit is also 4-1 against the spread in that stretch.

For a complete betting preview on the Patriots and Lions matchup before kick off at 1 p.m. ET, click here.

Thumbnail photo via Stephen R. Sylvanie/USA TODAY Sports Images

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