NBA Futures Outlook: Assessing the Most Vulnerable Teams


Jul 30, 2023

The Big Prices: High Stakes on Favorites

The odds are coming in for the new NBA season, with favorites like the Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets attracting big bets. A notable price shift from -4,000 on Denver to -8,000 on Boston doubled the stakes on the defending champs. However, with five teams at minus 1200 or higher, including the Miami Heat, Cleveland Cavaliers, Philadelphia 76ers, Milwaukee Bucks, and Celtics, it begs the question: Who is the most vulnerable of this group?

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Cavs: Potential for Upset

Out of the top five teams, it seems the Cavs could be the most vulnerable. Still, Cleveland is priced at +680 to miss the playoffs. This price isn’t reflective of their skill or talent. Instead, they need to be wary of the rise of other teams in their division, such as the Indiana Pacers and, to a lesser extent, the Detroit Pistons. If these teams significantly improve and win the season series against the Cavs, Cleveland might find itself slipping down the ranks.

A Cautionary Approach: No Quick Decisions

However, it’s crucial to remember that these are just speculations based on the current odds. Other teams like the Heat, despite their struggles in the regular season last year, are expected to make the playoffs comfortably, especially with the anticipated addition of Damian Lillard to their roster.

The Final Verdict: Risk Lies With the Cavs

In conclusion, while most teams in the top five are expected to safely make the playoffs, the Cavs could be the team at risk. If one were to consider betting against a team’s chances of making the playoffs, the Cavs, at +680, might be the most viable option. Yet, it’s essential to proceed cautiously, given the unpredictable nature of the NBA season and the potential for unforeseen upsets and breakthroughs.

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Thumbnail photo via David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

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