SportsGrid Model: Top MLB Player Props For Today (Sept. 27)


Sep 27, 2023

Diving into today’s MLB matchups, we’re spotlighting a few selections based on SportsGrid’s best MLB player props today. We employ a star rating system to evaluate each pick’s success likelihood.

Cincinnati Reds outfielder TJ Friedl rewarded us handsomely last night, homering for the fourth straight game at +680 odds.

We want to extend our home run prop winning streak to three, so we turn our attention to Atlanta Braves slugger Matt Olson.

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Note: All odds and props courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

ATL Matt Olson OVER 0.5 HRs vs. Cubs (+350)

  • He ‘eads MLB with 53 home runs this season
  • He is hitting .333 (9-for-27) over his last seven games 
  • He went 1-for-3 with a home run in his lone career matchup against Cubs right-handed starter Jameson Taillon 
  • Taillon has allowed 26 home runs this season (144.1 IP), tied for the most in his career
  • Taillon has allowed at least one home run in eight of his past ten starts
  • Left-handed batters are hitting .269 with 17 home runs against Taillon this season  

BAL Austin Hays OVER 0.5 RBI vs. Nationals (+150)

  • He has recorded 66 RBI in 141 games this season
  • He is 7-for-12 (.583) with a 1.167 slugging percentage in his career against Nationals left-handed starter Patrick Corbin (10-14, 5.13 ERA)
  • Corbin holds a 6.16 ERA over his last seven starts
  • Right-handed batters are hitting .299 against Corbin this season
  • Washington’s bullpen has a 4.99 ERA this season, the fifth-highest in MLB

CLE Shane Bieber UNDER 6.5 K’s vs. Reds (-138)

  • He has struck out six batters or fewer in 15 of his 20 starts this season (75%), including three straight
  • 7.4 K/9 is the lowest of his career
  • Cincinnati boasts a .788 OPS in September, the seventh-best in MLB

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Thumbnail photo via Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

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