Many had anticipated this game as a potential AFC championship preview, but current dynamics suggest a different story. Surprisingly, the Chiefs are only a 1.5-point favorite over the Bills, who have had a disappointing season. Buffalo’s struggles extend beyond the field, with locker room tensions and player issues. However, the narrow point spread indicates that the Bills still have a real chance.
The question for Buffalo is whether they can match the Chiefs’ offensive firepower. The Bills’ ground game, led by James Cook, looks promising. Cook is expected to exploit the Chiefs’ defense, which has consistently allowed significant runs. His most prolonged rushing attempt this season is 12.5 yards, but betting on the over seems wise, given his potential for explosive plays. Latavius Murray could also contribute to a balanced ground attack.
Josh Allen is another crucial factor for Buffalo. He has historically struggled against Steve Spagnuolo’s defensive schemes. However, this season, the Chiefs are not generating the same level of pressure from their blitzes, ranking fourth-lowest in pressure rate on blitzes. This could give Allen more opportunities to succeed through the air.
The outcome may hinge on the Chiefs’ offense and how many points they can score against a slightly weakened Bills defense. The Bills are not just looking to keep the game tight; they have a realistic shot at an outright win. They make an appealing choice for a teaser bet in this matchup.
While the Chiefs are favorites, the Bills have the tools to potentially upset the odds. Their ground game and improved passing could be the keys to a surprise victory in a matchup far closer than initially anticipated.
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