4:45 p.m.: We mentioned this earlier, prior to the 1 p.m. kickoffs, that there was a lot of public love for road favorites this week. We also said there was a good chance there would be some straight-up losses.
That proved to be … quite correct.
4:30 p.m.: A lot to unpack from the end of the 1 p.m. games.
The side and the total came down to the wire in Buffalo, which is when the Chargers got dumb.
Despite just about the entire world on the Giants — and New York dominating the game — the Bengals still found a way to cover.
3:44 p.m.: The Cardinals just tied things up in Foxboro with just over 8 minutes to play. That game is a virtual pick ’em now.
Elsewhere, the game with the most at stake regarding the pregame line is in Jacksonville, where the Browns are trying to cover as 7-point favorites. However, the Jaguars have the ball with under 6 minutes to play in the fourth quarter trailing 27-19.
The Bills-Chargers game is also one of interest. Buffalo (-5.5) is up 24-17, but Los Angeles has the ball in its own territory with just over 8 minutes to play.
3 p.m.: Plenty of momentum now for the Patriots, who are now 3.5-point favorites after this Kyler Murray interception.
2:50 p.m.: The Vikings (and Vikings bettors) are having an awful day. Carolina now leads in Minnesota 21-7 after scoring two consecutive scoop-and-score touchdowns, the first being a return of a Kirk Cousins fumble and the second being the return of a Dalvin Cook giveaway.
Carolina, a 3-point underdog at kickoff, now is an 8.5-point favorite on the live line.
2:48 p.m.: Quarterback change for the Giants in Cincinnati. Colt McCoy has replaced Daniel Jones, who appears to be injured. The Giants are currently 5.5-point favorites in a 10-10 game, although they’re driving.
2:45 p.m.: Naturally, Cleveland is having problems … with the Jaguars. A Cleveland fumble led to a Jaguars touchdown, and now the Browns are not only trailing 19-7 but just 2.5-point favorites as well. The total is all the way up to 59.
2:30 p.m.: Here are some current in-game lines for games that are at halftime or just about to start the second half.
(-5) New York Giants at Cincinnati
(-6) Miami at New York Jets
(-5) Arizona at New England
(-7.5) Cleveland at Jacksonville
Los Angeles Chargers a (-11.5) Buffalo
Carolina at (-3) Minnesota
2:16 p.m.: If you’re on the over for Derrick Henry rushing yards, it’s going to be a stress-free afternoon. The Titans running back already blew by the rushing yard prop (which landed somewhere in the 80s) with 120 yards — and counting — in the first half.
2:08 p.m.: A massive development in Indy, as Colts tackle Anthony Castonzo is out for the game.
The Titans, currently leading 21-14, are 3-point favorites on the live line at the moment.
2:05 p.m.: We gotta feeling this one might come back to bite those who have Cleveland -7 and/or over 48.5
1:30 p.m.: Looks like a shootout in Indy between a pair of AFC South rivals in what might be the biggest game of the weekend.
AJ Brown just scored a 69-yard touchdown, and the Titans have taken the 14-7 lead.
The underdog Titans are now 3-point favorites on the live line with the over/under up over 60.
1:25 p.m.: The Cardinals are off to a hot start in Foxboro after forcing a Cam Newton interception on the Patriots’ first possession.
Arizona then took the lead with a Kenyan Drake touchdown and after forcing a punt, is once again driving down the field.
The Cardinals are currently live 10-point favorites, and we’re not even out of the first quarter.
1:14 p.m.: The Giants wasted no time taking the lead in Cincinnati. The Bengals wasted even less time tying the game, as Brandon Wilson returned the ensuing kick 103 yards for a game-tying touchdown.
The total in that game closed at about 45 points. The live total is already up to 55.
12:53 p.m.: No surprises here given how much action we’ve already mentioned on teams like the Raiders and Giants. Obviously, according to this, the Vikings and Browns are getting plenty of love, too.
12:45 p.m.: A little more on the consensus picks as we get set for kickoff.
We’ll dive into that Broncos-Saints games a little more later, but those are unprecedented line movements on both the side and total. Then again, a team losing its entire quarterback room to a contagious disease and having to start a practice squad wide receiver is pretty unprecedented.
12:30 p.m.: With about 30 minutes to go until kickoff of the 1 p.m. ET slate, here’s a look at where the money is going, per Vegas Insider.
As you can see, there is a whole bunch of one-sided betting action in the early window.
The public absolutely loves the following:
Las Vegas (-3) AT Atlanta
Buffalo (-4.5) vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Miami (-7) AT New York Jets
Cleveland (-7) AT Jacksonville
New York Giants (-6) AT Cincinnati
Arizona (-1) AT New England
Unsurprisingly, all favorites. No surprise there. But we’ve bolded the “at” in some games to point out just how many public road favorites there are this week. That likely means there’s going to be some carnage because there’s no way all that public love is going to be justified by 4 p.m.
The real interesting game is the Arizona-New England game, where the Cardinals moved from a 2-point favorite to a 1-point favorite despite getting a whole chunk of bets (and handle).
12 p.m.: Week 12 in the NFL is here, and to the surprise of some, it actually will be played.
As COVID-19 tears through America, the NFL certainly hasn’t been immune to the contagious virus. A pivotal AFC North matchup between the Ravens and Steelers hangs in the balance, and we’ve got a practice squad wide receiver likely to start at quarterback in Denver.
It figures to be another wild day for bettors, too, and we’ll be following all the action right here, checking in on line movement, in-game action, props — you name it. When something happens on (or off) the field, and it affects the betting market, we’ll be breaking it down right here, so keep this blog refreshed throughout the day as you make your picks and bets.