The CFP Debate: Michigan, Washington, Texas, Alabama, and FSU

by

Dec 6, 2023

No. 1 ranked Michigan leads the pack in this year’s College Football Playoff, followed closely by Washington at No. 2, Texas at No. 3, and Alabama securing the No. 4 spot. This selection, particularly placing Alabama over Florida State University at No. 5, has sparked debate among fans and analysts.

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The crux of the controversy lies in the undefeated status of FSU as a Power Five Conference Champion, a credential that typically secures a team’s spot in the playoffs. However, the injury to FSU’s quarterback, Jordan Travis, altered the dynamics significantly. While the committee’s decision to exclude FSU might not be entirely wrong, it’s also not quite right, leaving room for contention.

A closer look at the committee’s logic reveals inconsistencies. If FSU, in its current form, is deemed inferior to Alabama, it stands to reason they should also rank below Georgia. This discrepancy in ranking methodology has raised questions about the committee’s criteria and transparency.

Despite the debates, the odds paint a clear picture. Washington remains the longest shot to win the championship. FSU and Washington, when compared to the top eight or nine teams, would likely be underdogs on neutral fields. Interestingly, Georgia would probably be favored against all groups, except perhaps against the leading contender, Michigan.

While justifiable in terms of selecting the four best teams, the committee’s choices have led to broader discussions about the nature of college sports in America. There are calls for a more transparent and fair selection process, moving beyond the current system that often prioritizes television ratings and revenue over pure athletic performance.

The exclusion of FSU, despite their undefeated status and conference championship, underscores a harsh reality in college sports. The absence of crucial player Travis significantly weakened the team, which was evident in their performance with second and third-string quarterbacks. This decline in performance, although unfortunate, was a crucial factor in the committee’s decision.

The case of FSU highlights the inherent challenges faced by the College Football Playoff committee in making such critical decisions. While the argument for including FSU over Washington is vital, primarily based on statistical performance, Washington’s advantage lies in their healthy, top-tier quarterback, poised for the NFL Draft.

While contentious, the committee’s decision aligns to showcase the best four teams on the sport’s biggest stage. Though tough on the team, the exclusion of FSU post-Travis injury reflects the harsh realities of competitive sports, where injuries can change the fate of teams and players.

The focus now shifts to the championship, where Alabama, despite a rocky season, stands a solid chance to clinch the title, highlighting college football‘s unpredictable and dynamic nature.

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Thumbnail photo via Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun / USA TODAY NETWORK

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