Patriots Open As Favorite Over Dolphins With AFC East Title On Line


Tom BradyThe New England Patriots will be back in Foxboro this weekend for their first home game in three weeks as they host the Miami Dolphins with a chance to clinch the AFC East and move closer to a potential first-round bye in the playoffs. New England opened as a 7.5-point favorite, but that line has climbed to eight or nine points at sportsbooks monitored by The total opened at 48.5 points.

The Patriots are 10-3 straight up and 8-5 against the spread, while the Dolphins are 7-6 SU and ATS. The Patriots have won five straight home games against the Dolphins, but New England is only 2-3-1 ATS in its last six games against Miami. New England is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games, while Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last six road games. This marks the fourth time this season that the Patriots have been favored by at least a touchdown at home. They are 3-0 SU but just 1-2 ATS in those games.

Three home teams have quickly climbed to double-digit favorite status on the Week 15 NFL betting lines. Kansas City is a 10.5-point favorite against Oakland; the Chiefs have not been a double-digit favorite since 2006, although they did cover the last two times that was the case. Baltimore is a 14-point favorite against Jacksonville, and the Ravens were previously a 10.5-point favorite against Tennessee. The Ravens covered against the Titans, but failed to cover their previous five games as a double-digit favorite. Finally, Seattle is a 10-point favorite against San Francisco. This is the first time the 49ers have been a double-digit underdog in the Jim Harbaugh era. This is the second time Seattle has been a double-digit favorite this year, having failed to cover a 13-point spread in a win over Oakland.

The New York Jets and Tennessee Titans have the closest spread to open the week. The Titans opened as a two-point favorite, but the line has come down to even at several sportsbooks. The Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games, while the Jets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games.

Week 15 “Sunday Night Football” features Philadelphia playing host to rival Dallas. The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite and are looking for the season sweep, having beaten the Cowboys in Dallas on Thanksgiving. Dallas is 4-1 SU in their last five road games against Philadelphia.

Week 15 wraps up with Chicago hosting New Orleans on “Monday Night Football,” and the Saints are three-point favorites. The total is set at 54 points, and it could easily go OVER in a game featuring two of the worst defenses in football. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five New Orleans games according to the OddsShark NFL Database, and in 12 of Chicago’s last 17 games.

Photo via Robert Hanashiro/USA TODAY Sports Images

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