Tom Brady and the New England Patriots opened as a two-point underdog on the odds to win Super Bowl XLIX against the Seattle Seahawks, but that line has since come down at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
That betting line now ranges between the Seahawks as one-point favorites and a pick ’em. The moneyline for the game, meanwhile, opened at Seahawks -143 and Patriots +129. That too has come down to Seahawks -115 and Patriots -105.
New England advanced to Super Bowl XLIX by easily covering in a 45-7 win over the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots improved to 14-4 against the spread on the season. If the current line holds up, it will mark the sixth time this season the Patriots have been a betting underdog. New England is 4-1 straight up and ATS in such games.
Seattle advanced to the Super Bowl with a 28-22 win over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game that just missed covering the spread. The Seahawks have been favorites in both of their playoff games, and in 14 of 16 regular season games this season. They are 13-3 SU and 9-6-1 ATS in such games.
Seattle is back in the Super Bowl for the second straight season. The Seahawks defeated the Denver Broncos 43-8 in Super Bowl 48, easily covering as a betting underdog. New England returns to the Super Bowl for the first time since Super Bowl 46, where they lost 21-17 to the New York Giants. New England has been to five Super Bowls in the last 13 years. Since upsetting the St. Louis Rams as a 14-point underdog in Super Bowl 36, the Patriots are 2-2 SU but 0-4 ATS in Super Bowl appearances.
The total is set at 48.5 points on the Super Bowl XLIX betting lines. The Patriots-Colts game went UNDER, while Seahawks-Packers went OVER. Both games were dealing with inclement weather, which brought in a lot of sharp money on the UNDER. This year’s Super Bowl is in Glendale, Arizona, and weather will not be an issue. Even if it does rain, University of Phoenix Stadium has a retractable roof.
The point total has gone OVER in 10 of New England’s 18 games this season. It has also gone OVER in 10 of Seattle’s 18 games this season. The total went OVER in Seattle’s Super Bowl win last season, and has gone OVER in three straight Seahawks playoff games. The total has alternated between OVER and UNDER in New England’s last seven playoff games.
The OddsShark Computer predicts a tight contest, with New England winning 35-34.6; the computer views the game as essentially a pick ’em on the neutral field.
New England heads to the Super Bowl in fairly good health. Julian Edelman left the AFC Championship Game in the second quarter with a hip injury, but later returned. Center Bryan Stork was inactive with a knee injury, missing his first start since entering the starting lineup in Week 8. His status for the Super Bowl is to be determined.
Seattle faces question marks in its secondary. Earl Thomas left the NFC Championship Game in the first half with a shoulder injury, but returned and finished the game with a harness on the shoulder. Richard Sherman suffered an elbow injury, and appeared to play the fourth quarter with essentially one useful arm. Both players are reportedly getting MRIs to determine the extent of the injuries, but both said they would play in the Super Bowl.
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