AL Cy Young Betting: The Ballad of Gerrit Cole

by

Aug 6, 2023

Gerrit Cole: The Minus Favorite

No one should be surprised to see Gerrit Cole at the top of the awards board. Going into the season as the number one pitcher, he has consistently lived up to the hype. As of now, he stands at a dominant -200 on FanDuel, a number that has moved even further into the negative from an initial -160. The money is clearly flowing in Cole’s direction, reflecting both his sterling performances and the power of the New York Yankees’ brand.

Houston Astros’ Steadfast Bet: Justin Verlander

Framber Valdez and Luis Castillo: Movement Up the Ranks

Other names have been making waves too. Framber Valdez has fought his way back into favor with a +500 number. Similarly, Luis Castillo has seen some substantial positive movement. He’s gone from being a long shot to a viable contender at +850. Kevin Gausman, at +750, is maintaining a steady presence in the competition, while Shohei Ohtani lags behind at +3000.

Shohei Ohtani: The Long Shot

Shohei Ohtani presents a fascinating opportunity for those looking to bet on a dark horse. Despite the long odds, his dual-threat capability and overall narrative could prove captivating enough to swing some votes his way. However, he needs to up his game. Early exits due to cramping or blister issues won’t cut it. He needs to start consistently pitching deeper into games if he wants to close the odds gap.

A Story Yet To Be Told

Despite Cole’s leading position, the outcome of this award is far from decided. These awards are about the stories the media chooses to tell, and the best story might not necessarily be the very public one of Gerrit Cole and the New York Yankees.

The media narrative could significantly influence who takes home the prize. Remember, it’s not always about being the best statistically; sometimes, it’s about capturing the public’s imagination. While the odds currently favor Cole, this dynamic could change as the season progresses and other stories unfold.

A Pinstripe Premium?

An interesting consideration is whether Cole’s negative odds are a reflection of his skills, the team he plays for, or a combination of both. The New York Yankees are an iconic franchise with a massive fan base. Could the bookmakers be capitalizing on this by offering less favorable odds due to the pinstripes Cole is wearing? It’s an angle worth exploring, particularly for bettors seeking value in their picks.

In conclusion, while the betting landscape currently leans heavily towards Cole, it’s important to remember that baseball – and betting – can be highly unpredictable. Keep an eye out for emerging narratives and changing odds as the season progresses. After all, baseball is as much a game of stories as it is of stats.

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Thumbnail photo via Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

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