NFC Divisional Dominance: Betting Odds & Season Predictions

by

Sep 21, 2023

As the National Football League is in full swing, we focus our lenses on the NFC, a conference hosting a staggering seven of the nine unbeaten teams.

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The divisional distribution is intriguing, with the NFC East boasting three undefeated teams – the Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia Eagles, and Washington Commanders. The NFC South isn’t far behind, also with three undefeated teams, the New Orleans Saints, Atlanta Falcons, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Cowboys and Eagles are co-favorites in the NFC East, standing at +105.

Shifting our gaze westwards, the San Francisco 49ers reign supreme in the NFC West, boasting odds of -440 to win their division. Two weeks into the season, San Francisco has the best price of any team across all divisions. But is this confidence justified this early in the game?

Over in the NFC North, the Detroit Lions lead the pack, but not by much. They’re a mere +100 ahead of their rivals, the Green Bay Packers.

The NFC South sees a tight race between the Saints, pegged at +135, and the Falcons trailing at +150.

What’s the early analysis of these divisional races? One word resonates strongly: overvalued. The enthusiasm needs to be toned down. It’s crucial to remember we’re just two weeks into the season. Rushing to bet on teams like the 49ers or Cowboys might be premature.

Consider the Cowboys. Their defense is undeniably of championship caliber, but these initial games might paint an overly rosy picture. The dynamics could change instantly if their star quarterback, Dak Prescott, faces an injury. Questions about their offense remain, and crowning them so soon might be a gamble.

The same caution applies to the 49ers. Their recent stellar performances have led many to crown them the champions. However, a closer examination reveals potential pitfalls. Let’s delve into the heavy reliance on Christian McCaffrey. His usage in the first two games is staggering. Banking on McCaffrey excessively poses a substantial risk. Overburdening him might lead to injuries by mid-season. The 49ers better have Elijah Mitchell prepared. Without alternative strategies, leaning on McCaffrey for 40 touches a game is a recipe for disaster.

While early signs in the NFC divisional races are intriguing, tempering excitement with pragmatism is crucial. After all, the season is a marathon, not a sprint.

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Thumbnail photo via Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

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