Monday Night Showdown: Jaguars vs. Bengals Betting Analysis


Dec 4, 2023

Jacksonville enters the NFL spotlight on Monday Night Football, hosting a significant matchup as they face off against the Cincinnati Bengals. Playing at home, the Jaguars emerge as the 9.5-point favorites in a game marked by an over/under of 39.5. This betting landscape would have been different had Cincinnati’s star quarterback, Joe Burrow, been available. Unfortunately, Burrow’s season-ending wrist injury and subsequent surgery have significantly impacted the Bengals’ prospects.

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Without Burrow, the Bengals find themselves in a challenging position. Currently below .500, they’ve suffered back-to-back losses, dampening the anticipation surrounding their participation in Monday Night Football. Conversely, the Jacksonville Jaguars enter this game with an impressive 8-3 record, marking their first appearance on Monday Night Football in over a decade. Notably, this game is a rare occasion where Jacksonville is favored by nearly double digits, only the second time this season they’ve been favored by a touchdown or more.

The scene in Duval County tonight is poised to be intense. Cincinnati’s struggles aren’t limited to the absence of Burrow; their defense, under the leadership of coordinator Lou Anarumo, hasn’t lived up to its potential. The Bengals concede an average of 139 yards on the ground (5 yards per carry) and 250 yards in the air (7.6 yards per attempt), indicating vulnerabilities in both run and pass defense.

Jacksonville’s offense, led by a healthy Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne (who, despite injuries, is expected to play), wide receiver corps, and tight end Evan Engram, is well-equipped to exploit these weaknesses. The question tonight isn’t just whether Jacksonville can win – which seems likely – but whether they can cover the substantial point spread.

Jacksonville’s objective is clear: not only to win but to do so impressively on a national stage. A victory would advance them to a 9-3 record, bolstering their ambitions to clinch the division and secure a playoff spot.

On Cincinnati’s side, the focus turns to backup quarterback Jake Browning, who faces the daunting task of potentially orchestrating a comeback. Despite the absence of Burrow, Cincinnati boasts healthy critical players like Joe Mixon, Ja’Marr Chase, and the returning Tee Higgins. These weapons could provide a spark, but the game ultimately hinges on the quarterback play and a defense that has yet to show its full capability.

While the odds favor a Jacksonville runaway, the extent to which they can dominate and cover the nearly double-digit spread remains a point of interest. Cincinnati, with its offensive firepower, could still pose a challenge. Still, their weakened defense and quarterback situation greatly disadvantage them in this high-stakes Monday Night Football showdown.

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Thumbnail photo via Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union / USA TODAY NETWORK

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