Spain isn’t totally safe yet.
After a draw against Portugal and a win over Iran, the Spaniards control their own destiny: win and they’re through to the Round of 16. Their situation to ensure they achieve that is a pretty favorable one, as they’ll take on Morocco in their Group B finale.
Morocco already is eliminated from the tournament, having lost their two games to date. So long as Spain can win or a draw, they will be safe, leaving Iran and Portugal to duke it out for the other spot.
Let’s look at the Spain vs. Morocco betting lines.
Current betting line (via OddsShark.com):
Morocco win: +800
Spain win: -294
Total goals: 2.5
NESN.com’s picks: Spain win, under
It is pretty tough to envision Morocco even mustering a draw. Their offense has been stagnant, and while they’ve allowed just one goal per game, Spain won’t exactly be a cakewalk. Take Spain.
Spain will be carrying the load offensively in this one, and while it is possible they reach three goals, making a bet on the under could be a compelling one. Take the under.
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