NFL Super Pick ‘Em: Week 11 Locks Include Patriots, Chiefs, Rams, Jets

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Nov 19, 2015

We’re heading into the home stretch of the NFL season. No, we’re not talking about actual teams with playoff aspirations. We’re talking about handicapping picks in the Westgate SuperContest.

Tom Brady’s Emails, NESN.com’s entrant into the contest on behalf of Team OddsShark, continues to hover just outside the circle of actual contenders in the Team OddsShark standings. If you’ve listened to our super-picking trio of Mike Cole, Ricky Doyle and Ben Watanabe this season, you’ve won more than you’ve lost, which is far better than most bettors can say.

With just seven weeks remaining in the regular season, there are plenty of games with postseason implications — and just as many with intriguing point spreads.

Check out our Week 11 locks below.

New York Jets (-2) vs. Houston Texans, Sunday, 1 p.m.
NRG Stadium, Houston
Coming off a loss to Buffalo, the Jets still have to worry about Ryan Fitzpatrick’s thumb, but at least they don’t have T.J. Yates at quarterback. That’s what Houston is facing with Brian Hoyer reportedly expected to sit out with a concussion. The Jets have lost three in a row against the spread, but they’re 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 5-1 ATS in their last six against Houston.

Oakland Raiders (-2) vs. Detroit Lions, Sunday, 1 p.m.
Ford Field, Detroit
Aldon Smith’s suspension takes some heat off Matt Stafford, but the Lions haven’t won ATS at home yet this season in four tries, while the Raiders are 3-1 ATS on the road. Last week marked the first time since early October the Raiders didn’t score at least 30 points in a game, while the Lions have been outscored by an average of 10.4 points per game.

St. Louis Rams (+2) vs. Baltimore Ravens, Sunday, 1 p.m.
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
Six of the Ravens’ nine games have been decided by four points or less, which makes it fairly substantial that St. Louis is getting two points here. Baltimore is 1-7-1 ATS this season, including 0-4 ATS at home, and with both team’s struggling offenses, this game easily could be 10-9 or 7-6 either way.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3) vs. San Diego Chargers, Sunday, 4:05 p.m.
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego
The Chiefs come into this matchup on a roll, winning three straight overall and ATS, and boasting a budding star in running back Charcandrick West. The Chargers have lost five straight, almost all in ugly fashion, and remain clueless at home; their 22-19 defeat to the Bears dropped them to 1-9 ATS in their last 10 at Qualcomm.

New England Patriots (-7) vs. Buffalo Bills, Monday, 8:30 p.m.
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, Mass.
Are you ready for some football? The undefeated Patriots put their 3-0-2 ATS record at home on the line against the resurgent Bills, who are coming off two consecutive SU and ATS victories over AFC East opponents. The Pats have been favored by seven twice at home this season and pushed both times, but they’ve also covered spreads of eight and 14 (twice) at the Razor.

Thumbnail photo via Chris Humphreys/USA TODAY Sports Images

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