Bills Running Game Could Exploit Dolphins in Week 4

by

Oct 1, 2023

The Rushing Potential: James Cook Takes Center Stage

The spotlight is on the Buffalo Bills run game, and James Cook stands out as the potential driving force. For bettors, the prop bets surrounding Cook’s rushing yards and his longest rushing attempt are worth noting. Given Vic Fangio’s softer coverage, the opportunity for ground advancement looks promising for the Bills.

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Adjusting Offensively: The Josh Allen Conundrum

Despite recent successes, the Bills’ offensive strategy seems to be taming Josh Allen’s aggressive nature, which includes his commendable downfield throws. This new approach, while safer, might not be leveraging Allen’s strengths. However, this restrained strategy might be an advantage against a defense like Fangio’s, which allows short passes and ground yards.

The Dolphins’ Offense vs. Bills’ Defense

Miami’s offensive capabilities raise questions, especially in terms of handling the Bills’ pass rush. Historically, the Bills have adopted a low blitz rate, relying more on natural pressure. This is something Tua Tagovailoa of the Dolphins has previously exploited, averaging 9.5 yards per attempt when the Bills refrained from blitzing. The twist in this matchup is the Bills’ reduced blitzing this season and their inability to create significant pressure when they do blitz. This cat-and-mouse game will keep both teams and spectators on their toes.

The Betting Landscape: Navigating The Numbers

There’s a noticeable shift in betting trends for this game. The sharp under money movement is noteworthy, and with the current line standing at 52.5, it’s advisable for bettors to keep an eye on its progression. Both teams represent the NFL’s top tier, which means any outcome is plausible. The Bills’ home advantage gives them a slight edge, but the match’s unpredictability is its most exciting aspect.

Conclusion

The upcoming game between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins offers an engaging battle on the field and in betting markets. While the Bills have several advantages on paper, particularly in their ground game, the strategic changes in their offensive approach and their defensive tactics make this game’s outcome hard to predict. Bettors should closely monitor market movements and team strategies. And while the anticipation builds, fans and bettors alike can only hope that both teams bring their A-game and deliver an unforgettable showdown.

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Thumbnail photo via Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

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