MLB HR Leader Odds: Will Aaron Judge and Juan Soto Go Head-to-Head?

by

Feb 13, 2024

As the MLB season approaches, fans and analysts are already speculating on who will emerge as the home run leader.

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Top 5 Regular Season HR Leader Odds at FanDuel

  • Aaron Judge (NYY): +380
  • Matt Olson (ATL): +750
  • Kyle Schwarber (PHI): +850
  • Pete Alonso (NYM): +850
  • Shohei Ohtani (LAD): +1000

For the New York Yankees, early projections point to two formidable sluggers: Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. With Judge’s over/under set at 44.5 home runs and Soto’s at 35.5, the stage is set for an electrifying battle.

The critical factor in determining the home run leader is undoubtedly the number of games each player will participate in. Judge’s potential to surpass his over/under largely hinges on his health and availability. If he manages to play close to 130 games, as projected, there’s little doubt he’ll exceed the 44.5 mark with ease. Judge’s raw power and ability to capitalize on the dimensions of Yankee Stadium make him a force to be reckoned with, capable of sending balls soaring over the outfield walls with ease.

Moreover, Judge’s approach to hitting lends itself to consistent power production. He’s not fixated on launching every ball into the stratosphere; rather, he’s content with driving balls to all fields, taking advantage of the short porch in right field. This versatility in his hitting style only adds to his home run potential.

But Judge isn’t alone in this race. With Juan Soto providing formidable backup, the Yankees have a potent one-two punch in their lineup. Soto’s presence not only takes pressure off Judge but also ensures that opposing pitchers can’t afford to pitch around him. Soto’s own home run prowess, combined with Judge’s, creates a formidable threat that opposing teams must contend with.

While Judge may have the edge regarding power and ballpark advantage, Soto’s consistency and ability to drive the ball to all fields make him a legitimate contender for the AL home run crown. If Soto can maintain his performance from previous seasons and capitalize on opportunities, he could give Judge a run for his money in the home run race.

The battle for the MLB home run leader promises to be a thrilling spectacle. Fans can expect a season filled with mammoth moon shots and edge-of-your-seat excitement. As the season unfolds, all eyes will be on these two sluggers as they vie for supremacy atop the home run leaderboard in New York.

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Thumbnail photo via Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

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