Some might say you’re only as good as your record says you are, but we’re going to ignore that for at least a couple more weeks — at least as it pertains Team NESN’s entry in the Westgate SuperContest.
It was another “meh” week for NESN.com’s Mike Cole and Ricky Doyle, who went 2-3 in Week 5, as they continue to wallow in mediocrity at the bottom of the Team OddsShark standings in the premier football prediction contest.
On to the Week 6 picks.
Cleveland Browns (+7) over Tennesee Titans, Sunday, 1 p.m.
Nissan Stadium, Nashville
The Titans looked good last week in Miami and are returning home to take on a winless Browns team, but … Tennessee’s 5-16-1 mark against the spread in its last 22 games as a favorite between 3.5 and 10 points is hard to ignore. Both teams will try to run the ball, which makes us think this could be a drawn-out game and shouldn’t be too one-sided regardless of who wins.
Baltimore Ravens (+3) over New York Giants, Sunday, 1 p.m.
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.
The Giants’ defense is a disaster. They’re 31st in the NFL in opposing time of possession, 29th in turnover ratio and dead last in sacks. The Ravens made a change at offensive coordinator, so we’re expecting a few new wrinkles that should jump-start that unit and could even get them a straight-up win at MetLife.
New Orleans Saints (+3) over Carolina Panthers, Sunday, 1 p.m.
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans
Cam Newton or not, it’s hard to see the Panthers’ defense doing much to slow down a Saints offense that’s averaging more than 30 points per game at home. And historically speaking, the Saints have been very good after the bye week, winning eight of their last nine and going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a bye.
Los Angeles Rams (+3) over Detroit Lions, Sunday, 1 p.m.
Ford Field, Detroit
This is an admittedly risky pick, as there’s some uncertainty about injuries on the Rams’ defensive line, which is arguably their biggest strength. That being said, teams have proved this season that you can run on the Lions, who are allowing 4.9 yard per rush this season; only the Redskins have a worse mark. That means we might be looking at Todd Gurley’s 2016 breakout game.
Houston Texans (-3) over Indianapolis Colts, Sunday, 8:30 p.m.
NRG Stadium, Houston
The Texans obviously have their own problems, most of which the Minnesota Vikings exposed last week. But that was on the road against arguably the best team in the NFL. They’ll find a softer place to land this week, returning home to take on the Colts, who have plenty of their own issues. Indy’s pass protection continues to be an issue (the Colts have allowed the most sacks in the NFL), making for a potentially horrible matchup against the Texans, who are fifth in the league in sacks this season.
Thumbnail photo via Troy Taormina/USA TODAY Sports Images