Celtics Had 94.6% Win Probability With Less Than Two Minutes Vs. Bucks

Celtics surrendered a 14-point, fourth-quarter lead


May 11

Bettors who had the Boston Celtics moneyline or to cover the spread witnessed a bad beat in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference semifinals against the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Celtics entered as the favorites at TD Garden, with -230 odds at WynnBett Sportsbook and looked ready to cash in and take a 3-2 series lead. A $100 bet on the C’s would have paid out $143.48 had they held on.

With just 1:45 minutes remaining, the Celtics held a six-point lead and a 94.6% win probability, according to ESPN Gamecast.

Bucks superstar forward Giannis Antetokounmpo — battered and bloodied — carried his team to a 110-107 win with a 40-point performance in as many minutes. The tides started to turn when Antetokounmpo drained a 3-point shot with 1:40 left. From there the Bucks took over.

While it was a bad beat for some, it’s somewhat of a relief to know that the majority of the money was on the Bucks.

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