Rout of Titans Vaults Patriots into Top Five of Offensive Fantasy Power Rankings

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Oct 20, 2009

Environment is the major key to fantasy football production. These rankings, updated weekly throughout the season, assess the foundation upon which fantasy football statistics rise (or fall).

NFL offenses are ranked one through 32 in the following categories: red zone trips per game, third-down conversion percentage, yards per rush attempt, yards per pass attempt, sack percentage allowed, rushing touchdowns per game and passing touchdowns per game.

Rank Team Red Zone Pos. Third Down % YPR YPA Sack % TD-Run TD-Pass Total
1 New Orleans (5-0) 1 4 6 3 6 1 1 22
2 New York Giants (5-1) 2                    5 8 4 4 13 4 40
3 Baltimore (3-3) 9 6 5 12 7 3 8 50
4 Indianapolis (5-0) 7 2 28 1 1 10 2 51
5 New England (4-2) 3 8 18 13 5 10 4 61
6 Minnesota (6-0) 4 3 13 11 22 7 4 64
7 Atlanta (4-1) 11 9 26 12 21 1 8 72
8 Miami (2-3) 11 1 3 20 11 2 28 76
9 Dallas (3-2) 16 18 1 7 15 5 19 81
10 Pittsburgh (4-2) 14 7 21 2 23 10 8 85
11 Jacksonville (3-3) 9 10 7 18 19 3 24 90
12 Chicago (3-2) 7 14 24 15 13 20 4 97
13 Houston (3-3) 6 23 30 5 8 26 3 101
14 Denver (6-0) 21 11 14 10 9 23 15 103
15 Philadelphia (3-2) 20 21 9 14 18 16 10 108
16 Green Bay (3-2) 11 12 19 6 32 16 13 109
17 Cincinnati (4-2) 17 16 15 19 14 13 18 112
18 San Diego (2-3) 5 15 32 8 24 20 17 121
19 New York Jets (3-3) 17 24 4 23 21 9 24 122
20 Tennessee (0-6) 31 20 2 30 3 19 24 129
21 Arizona (3-2) 15 26 31 16 10 20 13 131
22 Seattle (2-4) 17 19 25 22 17 26 12 138
23 Carolina (2-3) 24 17 11 27 25 8 28 140
24 Tampa Bay (0-6) 25 25 10 28 16 23 20 147
25 Detroit (1-5) 21 13 23 25 28 13 30 153
26 Buffalo (2-4) 25 30 12 21 20 30 20 158
26 St. Louis (0-6) 28 22 16 26 12 30 24 158
28 Washington (2-4) 21 27 20 17 27 26 22 160
29 San Francisco (3-2) 28 28 17 24 30 16 22 165
30 Kansas City (1-5) 25 32 27 29 31 30 15 189
31 Cleveland (1-5) 28 29 22 32 26 29 31 197
32 Oakland (2-4) 32 31 29 31 29 23 32 207

Executive Summary (Yes, you’re an executive. You own a football team!)

Let’s talk about the stat totals that hidden here, but that, of course, provide the basis for these rankings.

The Bills, Chiefs and Rams have yet to post a rushing touchdown.

The range in red zone possessions is startling — 5.4 trips per game for the Saints and 1.3 per game for the Raiders. The Eagles offense has been very big-play reliant — Philly gets into the red zone just 2.6 times per game. The Broncos are surprisingly weak here, too, just behind the Eagles with just 2.5 trips per game.

In today’s game, 8.0 yards per pass attempt (YPA), adjusting for sacks, is a magical number that leads to incredibly high TD proficiency about 80 percent of the time. Teams that meet or exceed that threshold (best first): Colts, Steelers, Saints, Giants and Texans. The Cowboys and Chargers are just behind at 7.9 and 7.8, respectively. At the bottom, you have the Browns averaging a pathetic 4.4 yards per attempt.

Note the range in pass protection. Peyton Manning gets sacked on 1.1 percent of attempts. Aaron Rodgers goes down on 13.2 percent, a figure that is untenable and the major reason why Greg Jennings has been so quiet. There’s just no time for downfield passing.

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